This one-day course introduces the different types of methods and models, ranging from simple empirical methods to sophisticated agent-based models where the behaviour of each individual and their interaction with the flood hazard is explicitly represented.
In the years between 1980 and 2009, it has been estimated that there were approximately
540,000 deaths, 362,000 injuries and 2.8 billion people affected by floods. Despite
this global impact there has been little attention paid to methods to estimate
the possible scales of the loss of life and the likely evacuation times for flood
events in order to improve emergency planning.
This course introduces the different types of methods and models that are available,
ranging from simple empirical methods to sophisticated agent-based models where
the behaviour of each individual and their interaction with the flood hazard is
An introduction including a global perspective of loss of life as the result of
floods and the reasons for deaths caused by flooding.
Emergency planning for floods.
Factors affecting the instability of people and vehicles in floodwater, as well
as the ability of buildings to resist floodwater.
A comparison of loss of life models and their different uses.
Methods to estimate evacuation times for floods.
The use of evacuation and loss of life models in improving emergency planning
Who should attend?
Flood risk managers, Environment Agency staff, emergency planners with an interest
in floods and consultants responsible for emergency planning for floods.
At the end of the course, participants will have:
an overview of the reasons for death caused by flooding;
an understanding of the characteristics of people, buildings and vehicles that
make them vulnerable to floodwater;
an overview of emergency planning for floods and the importance of risks to people
and evacuation in improving the effectiveness of these plans;
an understanding of the different types of loss of life and evacuation models
currently available and which ones are appropriate in what situations.